Maximum Likelihood Identification of Nonlinear Model for High-speed Train
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摘要: 提出高速列车非线性模型的极大似然(Maximum likelihood, ML)辨识方法,适合于高速列车在非高斯噪声干扰下的非线性模型的参数估计.首先,构建了描述高速列车单质点力学行为的随机离散非线性状态空间模型,并将高速列车参数的极大似然(ML)估计问题转化为期望极大(Expectation maximization, EM)的优化问题; 然后,给出高速列车状态估计的粒子滤波器和粒子平滑器的设计方法,据此构造列车的条件数学期望,并给出最大化该数学期望的梯度搜索方法,进而得到列车参数的辨识算法,分析了算法的收敛速度; 最后,进行了高速列车阻力系数估计的数值对比实验. 结果表明, 所提出的辨识方法的有效性.Abstract: A maximum likelihood (ML) system identification method is proposed for parameter estimation of nonlinear dynamic high-speed train model subject to non-gaussian noise. Firstly, a stochastic nonlinear discrete state-space model is established to describe the dynamic behavior of high-speed train as a single-point-mass object. The expectation-maximization (EM) approach is employed to compute the ML parameter estimates. In addition, the techniques of particle filtering and particle smoothing are given to estimate the nonlinear state of high-speed train, which is used to compute approximation of the conditional expectation. Furthermore, gradient-based search method is presented to maximize the conditional expectation. And the identification algorithm is given for parameter estimation of high-speed train. The convergence rate of the identification algorithm is also discussed in detail. Finally, numerical simulation study of parameter estimation for high-speed train is implemented and the results show the effectiveness of the proposed ML identification method.
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