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面向绿色低碳的高炉布料矩阵智能决策方法

于泽隽,  邢宇昆,  张森,  肖文栋,  李政国

于泽隽, 邢宇昆, 张森, 肖文栋, 李政国. 面向绿色低碳的高炉布料矩阵智能决策方法. 自动化学报, xxxx, xx(x): x−xx doi: 10.16383/j.aas.c260347
引用本文: 于泽隽, 邢宇昆, 张森, 肖文栋, 李政国. 面向绿色低碳的高炉布料矩阵智能决策方法. 自动化学报, xxxx, xx(x): x−xx doi: 10.16383/j.aas.c260347
Yu Ze-Jun, Xing Yu-Kun, Zhang Sen, Xiao Wen-Dong, Li Zheng-Guo. Intelligent decision method of blast furnace charging matrix for green and low-carbon. Acta Automatica Sinica, xxxx, xx(x): x−xx doi: 10.16383/j.aas.c260347
Citation: Yu Ze-Jun, Xing Yu-Kun, Zhang Sen, Xiao Wen-Dong, Li Zheng-Guo. Intelligent decision method of blast furnace charging matrix for green and low-carbon. Acta Automatica Sinica, xxxx, xx(x): x−xx doi: 10.16383/j.aas.c260347

面向绿色低碳的高炉布料矩阵智能决策方法

doi: 10.16383/j.aas.c260347 cstr: 32138.14.j.aas.c260347
基金项目: 国家自然科学基金(62173032,61903028,62003038), 北京市自然科学基金(J210005), 广东省基础与应用基础研究基金(2022A1515140109)资助
详细信息
    作者简介:

    于泽隽:北京科技大学自动化学院博士研究生.主要研究方向为复杂系统建模与控制和现代大型高炉布料系统. E-mail: d202310366@xs.ustb.edu.cn

    邢宇昆:机械工业仪器仪表综合技术经济研究所助理工程师.主要研究方向为基于工业数据的质量预测及控制、污染物溯源、智能制造评测. E-mail: 15601323202@163.com

    张森:北京科技大学自动化学院教授.主要研究方向为复杂系统建模与控制和现代大型高炉布料系统.本文通信作者. E-mail: zhangsen@ustb.edu.cn

    肖文栋:北京科技大学自动化学院教授.主要研究方向为无线定位与导航、能量采集及网络资源管理、可穿戴计算与智慧养老、数据挖掘与智能大数据处理、物联网与信息化平台建设等. E-mail: wdxiao@ustb.edu.cn

    李政国:新加坡科技研究局高级科学家.主要研究方向为视频处理与传输、计算摄影、开关与脉冲控制、传感器融合以及物理驱动深度学习. E-mail: ezgli@i2r.a-star.edu.sg

Intelligent Decision Method of Blast Furnace Charging Matrix for Green and Low-carbon

Funds: Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (62173032, 61903028, 62003038), Natural Science Foundation of Beijing Municipality, China (J210005), and GuangDong Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation(2022A1515140109)
More Information
    Author Bio:

    YU Ze-Jun Ph.D. candidate at the School of Automation and Electrical Engineering, University of Science and Technology Beijing. His research interest covers complex system modeling and control, as well as modern large-scale blast furnace burden distribution systems

    XING Yu-Kun Assistant Engineer at the Instrumentation Technology and Economy Institute. His research interests include quality prediction and control based on industrial data, pollutant tracing, and intelligent manufacturing evaluation

    ZHANG Sen Professor at the School of Automation and Electrical Engineering, University of Science and Technology Beijing. Her research interests include complex system modeling and control, as well as modern large-scale blast furnace burden distribution systems. Corresponding author of this paper

    XIAO Wen-Dong Professor at the School of Automation and Electrical Engineering, University of Science and Technology Beijing. His research interests include wireless positioning and navigation, energy harvesting and network resource management, wearable computing and smart eldercare, data mining and intelligent big data processing, as well as Internet of Things and information platform development

    LI Zheng-Guo Senior Scientist at the Agency for Science, Technology and Research, Singapore. His research interests include video processing and delivery, computational photography, switched and impulsive control, sensor fusion and physics-driven deep learning

  • 摘要: 高炉炼铁工序贡献了钢铁生产流程七成以上的碳排放, 而布料操作直接影响煤气利用率与碳排放水平, 是绿色低碳制造的重要切入点. 然而, 面对高炉内部"黑箱"环境, 现有方法难以预测布料调整对炉况的影响, 只能被动响应. 为此, 提出一种基于炉况感知与深度强化学习的高炉布料矩阵决策方法. 首先, 针对炉况粗精度分类不足以支撑布料决策的问题, 提出炉况健康度9级评分体系, 构建基于时间卷积网络(Temporal Convolutional Network, TCN)的炉况时序分类模型. 其次, 针对布料调整对炉况的影响难以预测的问题, 设计基于改进交叉注意力机制(Cross Attention, CA)的炉况多步预测模型, 捕捉布料矩阵与炉况的时序依赖关系. 最后, 将上述分类与预测模型作为状态空间与奖励函数嵌入深度强化学习框架, 以炉况长期稳定顺行为目标, 构建基于双延迟深度确定性策略梯度算法(Twin Delayed Deep Deterministic policy gradient algorithm, TD3)的布料矩阵决策模型. 在高炉实际生产数据集上的验证结果表明, 该方法能够自动调整布料矩阵, 维持炉况稳定顺行, 为高炉的智能化、低碳化运行提供了可落地的方案.
  • 图  1  无钟布料原理图

    Fig.  1  Schematic diagram of bell-less burden charging

    图  2  方法总体架构图

    Fig.  2  Overall architecture of the proposed method

    图  3  TCN结构图

    Fig.  3  Structure diagram of TCN

    图  4  炉况预测模型结构图

    Fig.  4  Furnace condition-aware causal cross-attention mechanism

    图  5  $ \text{TCN}_\mathrm{matrix} $结构图

    Fig.  5  Structure of $ \text{TCN}_\mathrm{matrix} $

    图  6  偏移因果掩码

    Fig.  6  Shifted causal mask

    图  7  布料矩阵决策深度强化学习框架图

    Fig.  7  Deep reinforcement learning framework diagram for charging matrix decision

    图  8  TCN炉况分类模型训练损失曲线

    Fig.  8  Training loss curve of TCN condition classification model

    图  9  TCN炉况分类模型混淆矩阵

    Fig.  9  Confusion matrix of TCN condition classification model

    图  10  TCN-CA炉况预测模型训练结果

    Fig.  10  TCN-CA condition prediction model training result

    图  11  顶压预测结果

    Fig.  11  Top pressure prediction

    图  12  顶温预测对比

    Fig.  12  Comparison of top temperature prediction

    图  13  TD3模型训练结果

    Fig.  13  TD3 model training results

    图  14  TD3与DDPG模型每轮平均回报对比

    Fig.  14  Average reward per episode: TD3 vs. DDPG

    图  15  TD3布料决策模型测试结果

    Fig.  15  TD3 charging decision model testing results

    图  16  不同决策方法下的煤气利用率变化对比

    Fig.  16  Comparison of gas utilization rate changes under different decision methods

    表  1  布料矩阵的调整范围

    Table  1  Adjustment range of charging matrix

    挡位1234567891011
    上限$ O_a $41403938373633.531292623
    $ O_n $23411111111
    $ C_a $42414039383734.532302724
    $ C_n $23411111111
    下限$ O_a $36353433323128.526242118
    $ O_n $12300111000
    $ C_a $36353433323128.526242118
    $ C_n $12300111100
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  2  炉况状态变量及与布料的关系

    Table  2  Furnace condition state variables and their relationship with charging operation

    变量定义与单位受布料调整的影响对炉况的指示作用
    $ P_{\text{top}} $炉顶煤气压力($ \mathrm{kPa} $)布料改变料面形状与煤气通道, 影响$ P_{\text{top}} $分布.影响煤气流速与料柱稳定性, 稳定顶压利于高产.
    $ \Delta P $炉顶与炉底压力差($ \mathrm{kPa} $)布料矩阵决定矿焦比径向分布, 改变料柱透气阻力.反映料柱透气性, 异常压差预示悬料、崩料.
    $ K $风量与压差的比值布料影响煤气流动路径, 进而改变$ K $.反映煤气流与料柱的匹配程度.
    $ \eta_{\text{CO}} $煤气中${\mathrm{CO}} _2 $ 占CO与${\mathrm{CO}} _2 $总量的比值布料影响矿焦接触效率, 改变还原反应程度.能量效率的核心指标.
    $ T_{\text{top}} $炉顶气体平均温度($ ^\circ C $)布料改变煤气流分布, 导致$ T_{\text{top}} $变化.反映炉内热状态, 过高或过低均为异常.
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  3  炉况健康度9级评分体系

    Table  3  9-level health scoring system for furnace conditions

    等级 炉况描述
    正常9(优)炉况极其稳定, 所有关键指标均处于理想范围且保持最优水平.
    8(良)炉况稳定, 个别指标(如水温差)存在微小波动, 整体控制良好.
    7(中)炉况较稳定, 煤气流小幅度波动, 水温差波动频繁, 煤气利用率偏低.
    6(差)炉况稳定性一般, 压差明显偏高、温差波动较大, 控制水平较差.
    休风5因计划检修、设备维护、炉渣清理或指标突变, 高炉停止冶炼.
    异常4(轻度异常)指标小范围偏离正常, 需减风、停氧并密切观察.
    3(中度异常)指标偏离较大, 可能出现炉皮过热、发红, 需立即减风停氧.
    2(高度异常)指标严重偏离, 温差过高、炉皮破裂, 可能出现崩料.
    故障1炉况极端异常, 料线停滞、滑料, 须立即调节, 否则引发安全事故.
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  4  关键超参数的设定及依据

    Table  4  Key hyperparameter settings and their selection basis

    模型参数取值调参依据
    分类模型隐藏层层数8如式(5), 感受野计算公式
    模型时间步240对应4小时工作周期
    卷积核大小2经验值, 捕捉局部依赖
    空洞因子2经验值, 指数扩张, 扩大感受野
    学习率0.001验证集调优
    分类数9炉况健康度9级评分体系
    预测模型注意力维度 $d_k$64经验值[30]
    FFN输出维度128经验值, 平衡表达力与计算量
    学习率0.000 4验证集调优
    决策模型最大训练轮次10 000保证充分收敛
    每轮步数10匹配工艺周期
    学习率0.001验证集调优
    折扣因子$ \gamma $0.99验证集调优
    软更新系数$ \tau $0.001验证集调优
    策略噪声$ \epsilon $0.2经验值[31]
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  5  超参数敏感性分析结果

    Table  5  Hyperparameter sensitivity analysis results

    分类/预测模型 决策模型
    参数 取值 性能指标 参数 取值 性能指标
    学习率 0.0002 0.852 $ \gamma $ 0.95 47.21%
    0.0005 0.873 0.98 48.05%
    0.001 0.885 0.99 48.36%
    0.002 0.872 0.995 48.28%
    $ d_k $ 32 1.68 $ \tau $ 0.0005 48.22%
    64 1.42 0.001 48.36%
    128 1.44 0.005 48.29%
    256 1.52 0.01 47.98%
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  6  炉况分类性能对比

    Table  6  Comparison of furnace condition classification performance

    模型准确率宏平均F1分数故障召回率故障精确率
    CNN0.818$ \pm $0.0200.788$ \pm $0.0210.895$ \pm $0.0180.882$ \pm $0.022
    LSTM0.842$ \pm $0.0150.821$ \pm $0.0170.948$ \pm $0.0120.937$ \pm $0.016
    ELM0.861$ \pm $0.0100.844$ \pm $0.0110.962$ \pm $0.0080.954$ \pm $0.012
    TCN0.885$ \pm $0.0080.868$ \pm $0.0091$ \pm $00.982$ \pm $0.006
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  7  模型训练与推理时间对比

    Table  7  Comparison of training and inference time

    模型训练时间(min)单样本推理时间(ms)
    ELM2.3 $ \pm $ 0.57.0 $ \pm $ 0.4
    CNN26.1 $ \pm $ 3.89.6 $ \pm $ 0.6
    TCN63.4 $ \pm $ 5.28.7 $ \pm $ 0.5
    LSTM172.5 $ \pm $ 15.321.5 $ \pm $ 1.2
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  8  炉况预测误差($ 10^{-2} $)对比

    Table  8  Comparison of prediction errors($ 10^{-2} $) for furnace condition

    参数模型MAPERMSE
    $ P_{\text{top}} $TCN-CA1.419$ \pm $0.0852.757$ \pm $0.165
    TCN1.865$ \pm $0.1303.343$ \pm $0.234
    TCN(无布料矩阵)2.018$ \pm $0.1513.758$ \pm $0.282
    LSTM2.195$ \pm $0.1764.008$ \pm $0.320
    ELM2.568$ \pm $0.2054.731$ \pm $0.378
    $ \Delta P $TCN-CA1.880$ \pm $0.1133.069$ \pm $0.184
    TCN2.403$ \pm $0.1683.797$ \pm $0.266
    TCN(无布料矩阵)2.621$ \pm $0.1834.156$ \pm $0.291
    LSTM2.844$ \pm $0.1994.526$ \pm $0.317
    ELM3.318$ \pm $0.2325.374$ \pm $0.376
    $ K $TCN-CA1.670$ \pm $0.1002.908$ \pm $0.175
    TCN2.142$ \pm $0.1503.545$ \pm $0.248
    TCN(无布料矩阵)2.312$ \pm $0.1623.894$ \pm $0.273
    LSTM2.524$ \pm $0.1774.265$ \pm $0.299
    ELM2.950$ \pm $0.2075.058$ \pm $0.354
    $ \eta_{\text{CO}} $TCN-CA1.534$ \pm $0.0923.994$ \pm $0.240
    TCN2.126$ \pm $0.1494.958$ \pm $0.347
    TCN(无布料矩阵)2.310$ \pm $0.1625.436$ \pm $0.381
    LSTM2.492$ \pm $0.1745.915$ \pm $0.414
    ELM2.922$ \pm $0.2047.012$ \pm $0.491
    $ T_{\text{top}} $TCN-CA7.134$ \pm $0.4289.174$ \pm $0.550
    TCN9.451$ \pm $0.56711.512$ \pm $0.691
    TCN(无布料矩阵)10.284$ \pm $0.61712.593$ \pm $0.756
    LSTM11.117$ \pm $0.66713.718$ \pm $0.823
    ELM13.010$ \pm $0.78116.270$ \pm $0.976
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  9  模型训练与预测耗时对比(240步)

    Table  9  Comparison of training time and prediction time (240 steps)

    模型训练时间(min)预测耗时(ms)
    ELM3.8 $ \pm $ 0.67.0 $ \pm $ 0.4
    TCN(无布料矩阵)51.2 $ \pm $ 4.512.0 $ \pm $ 0.6
    TCN74.6 $ \pm $ 6.114.2 $ \pm $ 0.7
    LSTM215.3 $ \pm $ 18.728.6 $ \pm $ 1.4
    TCN-CA182.6 $ \pm $ 15.822.5 $ \pm $ 1.1
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  10  动作网络输出的布料矩阵时序表

    Table  10  Sequence table of the charging matrix output by Actor

    时间布料矩阵
    挡位1234567891011
    0:00$ O_a $41403938373633.531292118
    $ O_n $22300111000
    $ C_a $42414039383734.532302524
    $ C_n $12300111100
    $\dots$
    4:00$ O_a $41403938373633.531242118
    $ O_n $22300111100
    $ C_a $42414039383734.532302524
    $ C_n $12300111100
    $\dots$
    8:00$ O_a $41403938373633.531292118
    $ O_n $22300111000
    $ C_a $42414039383734.532302524
    $ C_n $12300111100
    $\dots$
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  11  测试集平均煤气利用率对比

    Table  11  Comparison of average gas utilization rate on the test set

    决策方法平均煤气利用率(%)相对提升
    DDPG46.21$ \pm $0.28—
    TD348.36$ \pm $0.31+4.65
    下载: 导出CSV
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